but chris christie didn't get the memo that you're supposed to downplay expectations. yesterday he said his first debate was going to be a game changer. >> well, i don't think it really matters. people are making a little bit of a big deal about what he said. i think what matters is governor romney needs to close the gap on what i call the tug mcgraw principle, which is you've got to believe. he needs republicans and the press and independent voters to believe he can win. a lot of new polls out this morning. they all show, when this question's asked, people don't think romney's going to win, even a lot of people who support him think the president's going to win. i think that's one of the main things, stand with the president and convince people yeah, he's got a chance. >> you hear more and more people talking about the first debate being critical and it is with all the early voting going on, with the advantage that the president's taking in a lot of swing states, even fox news polls showing him ahead. with all the early voting going on, with the spread being what it i